Introduction

Brazilian peanut exports to China generated approximately US$43.8 million in revenue between January and September 2025 alone — already surpassing Brazil’s total annual peanut sales to the Netherlands, historically one of its largest buyers, across the entirety of 2024. For a trade relationship that barely existed three years earlier, that is a significant shift.

The story behind that number matters for any buyer evaluating Brazil as a peanut origin — because it shows how quickly a new market can scale once a specific regulatory barrier is removed, and what that means for supply availability and pricing going forward.

What Happened: A New Market Opens Fast

Brazil and China signed a phytosanitary protocol at the end of 2022 that formally opened Chinese ports to Brazilian peanut imports for the first time. Within roughly three years, China moved from a negligible buyer to a market generating tens of millions of dollars in annual trade — and Brazil is now negotiating with Chinese authorities to eliminate the remaining 12% import tariff, a move that would accelerate volume further.

The broader trade picture reflects this momentum. According to USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service, citing data from the Brazilian Peanut Exporters Association (AbexBr), Brazil’s total peanut exports are forecast to reach 460,000 metric tons in the 2026/27 marketing year, continuing a steady growth trend.

Why It’s Happening: Price Recovery and Shifting Trade Patterns

2025 was a difficult year for Brazilian peanut producers, with export prices falling to their lowest levels since 2019. That price weakness has since reversed: by July 2026, Brazilian peanuts were exporting at an average price of US$1,181.4 per tonne, already above 2025 levels, with shipment volumes up 26.5% year-on-year.

USDA’s analysis points to a specific driver behind the renewed international demand: ongoing global economic and trade disputes have prompted major importing countries, including China, to diversify sourcing away from other origins — creating exactly the kind of opening that supported Brazil’s rapid entry into the Chinese market after 2022.

Planted area for the 2026/27 season is expanding primarily in Mato Grosso do Sul, which already accounts for over 77% of national peanut production, with smaller expansion in Mato Grosso, Minas Gerais, Paraná, Goiás, and western São Paulo state.

What This Means for International Buyers

1. China is still an emerging buyer, not a mature one — pricing and availability may move faster than in established markets. Buyers in Asia sourcing peanuts for the first time from Brazil are entering a trade relationship still being actively negotiated at the tariff level, which means terms could improve further in the near term.

2. Price recovery signals tightening supply, not oversupply. After 2025’s price slump discouraged some producers from expanding planted area, the 2026/27 recovery in both price and shipment volume suggests buyers should not expect the discount pricing seen during last year’s downturn to persist.

3. Multiple product formats are available beyond raw peanuts. Brazilian exporters supply natural, blanched, and roasted peanuts across standard size grades (38/42 and 50/60), as well as split formats — giving buyers flexibility depending on whether the end use is direct food service, further processing, or retail packaging.

Key Specifications for Brazilian Peanuts

Conclusion

Brazil’s peanut trade with China illustrates how quickly a new export corridor can develop once a phytosanitary barrier is resolved — from negligible volume in 2022 to tens of millions of dollars in annual trade within three years. With prices recovering through 2026 and tariff negotiations ongoing, buyers evaluating Brazilian peanuts now are entering the market at an active, still-developing stage rather than a fully mature one.

Sourcing Brazilian Peanuts?

AgriTrade Connect supplies Brazilian runner peanuts — natural, blanched, and roasted, across standard export size grades — FOB or CIF to your port.

gabriel.dias@agritradeconnect.com | WhatsApp: +55 17 99735-4202 | agritradeconnect.com

Sources